Dating back to 1985 the first year the NBA used the NBA Draft lottery system, General Managers have gone back and forth in deciding what kind of player they want to be their cornerstone player. It seems like for the most part GM's believe bigger is better and when the top pick can either be a Center/power forward or point/shooting guard, the percentages lean to the BIG MAN being selected the majority of the time. Look at the 1984 draft the Portland TrailBlazers selected Sam Bowie with the number#2 pick instead of Michael Jordan. Now in Portland's defense in 1983 they drafted Clyde Drexler, so they decided to go BIG in 1984. We all know who turned out to be the better player!
Google the NBA drafts from 1984-2008 I guarantee the majority of the Number 1 picks were either centers or Power Forwards. In most recent history look at the 2005 draft, perfect example: Andrew Bogut & Marvin Williams were both selected before Deron Williams & Chris Paul. Four years later review these 4 players impact. Chris Paul is a two time All-Star, Olympic Gold Medalist, and finished second in MVP voting. Deron Williams, is an Olympic Gold medalist, has been labeled and been paid to be the franchise player for the Utah Jazz with a 6yr 68 million contract, and may make his first All-Star appearance. (The West is though to make as a guard). Now lets review Marvin Williams, has steadly improved every year he has been in the league, nice player, great attitude, hard worker, but has not truly lived up to expectations. Andrew Bogut, is a nice piece in Milwaukee, but can not be viewed as their franchise player, that is Michael Redd. He is not the second opinion, that is Richard Jefferson. So you have a former Number 1 pick as a third option on a team struggling to stay .500 in the Eastern Division, not so good.
If I were a General Manager, you should draft your cornerstone player based on immediate impact ability. What player can come in and perform at a high level, and make the job easier for his supporting cast. In most cases BIG MEN, take a few years to get it going, unless your name is SHAQUILLE O'NEAL. He was ready physically from day one to compete and even at times during his rookie season dominant his competition. Most of the time big guys will be like Greg Oden. Consistently in foul trouble, taking time to learn the NBA pace, and also learning to balance their enormous bodies. Greg Oden, also shows you signs of great output, however it is not consistent enough to hand him the keys to the franchise.
General Managers, consistently show they believe bigger is better, and history has shown more times than not this is incorrect thinking. It seems the 2008 draft is a sign of the changing times. The Chicago Bulls already loaded at the guard positions selected Derrick Rose as the Number 1 pick. (Please note Derrick Rose is a Chicago native, and High School legend so I am sure that had a big part to play) , but regardless they selected Derek ahead of Michael Beasley who completely dominated the college scene last season. However if you look at the early production Derrick Rose is having a much more productive season. The NBA game is a results NOW industry, as clearly shown this season Coaches and GMs no longer have the time they use to to build playoff caliber teams. So if you are a GM and you must select between a skillful guard that is NBA ready NOW, or a BIG MAN that COULD be a dominating player in a few years, if you like your job, pick the GUARD.


